Cyclone Tauktae to Form Over Arabian Sea by May 16; Heavy Rains Forecast Over west coast of India see effected states.

Sea surface temperatures above the Arabian Sea are significantly above 30 ° C and the Madden – Julian oscillation (MJO) is also conducive to increasing convection. Therefore, circumstances supported the LPA to rapidly concentrate in a depression around the Lakshadweep region by Saturday.

Subsequently, it is expected to move north-northwest, intensify into a cyclonic storm over the east-central Arabian Sea around Sunday, and then continue to move northwest for some more time.

When the system is accelerated in the cyclonic storm, it will be named Cyclone Tuktae. Recommended by Myanmar, Tauktae means a highly vocal lizard.

According to The Weather Channel's Met team, between Friday and Sunday, Kerala may receive a 3-day rainfall of 200 mm or more.

Furthermore, as the system moves northwards, it will soon start affecting the coastal areas of Maharashtra and Goa as well. Accordingly, meteorologists  have predicted heavy rains and thunderstorms in coastal Maharashtra and Goa from Saturday to Monday.

Landfall site:

It is too early to predict the potential terrain area for Cyclone Tauktae, which may grow well into the Saver Cyclonic Storm next week.

but it is likely to fall between Kerala and Gujarat